Wasted
time! Wasted energy! Never going to happen without an enforceable world
government. And even then, it would be unwise
if one nation resisted (see effort to rid Iraq, N. Korea, Libya, India, and Pakistan
of nuclear weapons) or for galactic reasons (see second paragraph). And even if they were eliminated, humanity would
be no more secure from other forms of WMD that are cheaper, easier to make and
deliver, and just as deadly to human beings.
Our capacity for genetic engineering and eventually the evolution of AI
puts the survival of humanity at an even greater risk of global mass murder.
In “the
long view” no single planet species will survive. While nuclear weapons are certainly a threat
to millions, they could also be useful in saving billions of people -- from
planet killing asteroids, to global warming, to the extremely remote possibility
of an alien invasion that building border walls can’t stop.
The
best we can hope for, and work for, and afford - without a war is to create a
world where the desire to use nuclear weapons (or any form of WMD) by a government
is dramatically reduced, and the capacity for any individual or extremist group
to make or buy one is prohibitively risky and expensive.
The
only possibility that I’m aware of the make this happen is the 2nd coming of
Jesus after Armageddon or the 17 Sustainable Development Goals by the year
2030.
Banning
nuclear weapons will be as successful as Alcohol prohibition or Prostitution.
********
Nuclear
weapons are not being eliminated any time soon:
Sisters mark Sept. 26, UN International Day for the Total Elimination of
Nuclear Weapons by
Chris Herlinger
Published on Global Sisters Report (https://www.globalsistersreport.org) Sep 23, 2019. Modified on 9/26/2019: https://www.globalsistersreport.org/news/world/nuclear-weapons-are-not-being-eliminated-any-time-soon
New
York — It is something of a yearly ritual.
The
United Nations' annual International Day for the Total Elimination of Nuclear
Weapons [2] falls on Sept. 26 and comes as world leaders
and members of the world body convene for the annual September meeting of the
U.N.'s General Assembly.
It's a
nod to an important issue and one that always prompts calls for urgent action.
"The
only sure way to eliminate the threat posed by nuclear weapons is to eliminate
the weapons themselves," U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said in a
U.N. backgrounder [2] on
the topic.
But in
a world caught up in the noise of other issues — trade, political squabbles,
the constant blur of social media — and with the United Nations itself
conceding that its members are frustrated by the slow pace of nuclear
disarmament, does the issue of nuclear disbarment have any traction?
Sr.
Stacy Hanrahan, who represents the Congregation of Notre Dame at the United
Nations and consistently follows and champions the issue, believes it does. But
it requires a long view, she says.
At 72
and eyeing retirement from her U.N. duties later this year, Hanrahan carries
with her memories of growing up during the Cold War and of the public outcry
over nuclear weapons during the early years of the Reagan administration nearly
four decades ago.
"I'm
part of that cohort," she said following a Sept. 11 event at the Church Center
for the United Nations Center sponsored by the Maryknoll Sisters focused on
developing a culture of peace.
Hanrahan
said she believes others are now taking up the issue and sees more young people
attending U.N. briefings on nuclear disbarment.
"They
are interested, and that impresses me," she said.
Of
particular note is the connection more people make between disarmament and
wider environmental issues, especially climate change, she said.
The
links between nuclear weapons and climate change may not be obvious at first,
she added. But if you dig deeper, it is possible to find the connections, which
include the harm to the Earth of producing nuclear weapons and that the funds
allocated for such weaponry could be used to protect the environment.
"I
don't think we're grasping how harmful these weapons are even without using
them — the money involved, resources that could be spent protecting the
Earth," Hanrahan said.
One
international campaign, Move the Nuclear Weapons Money [4],
notes: "One trillion dollars is being spent to modernize the
nuclear arsenals of nine countries over the next 10 years." This
money, it argues, "could instead be used to help end poverty,
protect the climate, build global peace and achieve the sustainable development
goals."
The
Ploughshares Fund, a peace advocacy group, names [5] the
nine countries: United States, Russia, France, China, the United Kingdom,
Pakistan, India, Israel and North Korea, noting they have a total of 13,860
weapons between them. While that number has been reduced since the height of
the Cold War, it still represents a threat, the organization argues.
"When
you are fleeing a forest fire it is not just direction but speed that
matters," it says.
Sisters
whose advocacy focus at the United Nations includes the environment are
similarly concerned.
"There
are so many dimensions to the nuclear issue," Sr. Helen Saldanha, a member
of the Missionary Sisters Servants of the Holy Spirit [6] and
an executive co-director of VIVAT International [7],
a U.N.-based advocacy group, told GSR after the Sept. 11 event.
One of
those dimensions is the toll the development of weapons, the need for plutonium
and other hazardous minerals, takes on the Earth itself.
"Nuclear
weapons create an environmental destruction," she said.
Saldanha
said there is a need for a "culture of peace" that respects the
environment, and anti-nuclear advocacy's "strength is not there yet. But
it could be" with increased grassroots efforts.
Judy
Coode, who directs the Pax Christi International Catholic Nonviolence Initiative [8] and
who spoke at the Sept. 11 event, said the "actual use of the weapons would
be catastrophic" but noted, too, that the cumulative effect of
"financial and intellectual resources to develop these weapons is a
sin."
"What
it fosters — the fear, the anxiety — has been a waste, and we need to recognize
that," she said.
In
its backgrounder [2] about
the Sept. 26 commemoration, the United Nations noted the international
frustration over the slow pace of nuclear disarmament is partly due to
increased worries "about the catastrophic humanitarian consequences of the
use of even a single nuclear weapon, let alone a regional or global nuclear
war."
At a
meeting earlier this year at the United Nations, Véronique Christory, the
senior arms control adviser of the International Committee of the Red Cross,
said in recent years, "debates about nuclear weapons have shifted beyond
narrow 'security' interests to focus on the evidence of their foreseeable
impacts. This shift in approach is to be welcomed."
She
noted that in the seven decades following the use of nuclear weapons in Japan
at the end of World War II, "Japanese Red Cross hospitals have continued
each year to treat many thousands of survivors who still suffer and die from
cancers and other diseases directly linked to exposure to nuclear radiation in
1945."
As a
result, Christory said at a May 8 gathering, "we have an even clearer
understanding of the unspeakable suffering and devastation that a nuclear
weapon detonation would cause. We know that even a 'limited' nuclear exchange
would have catastrophic and long-lasting consequences for human health, the
environment, the climate, food production and socioeconomic development."
There
are other worries, as the United Nations backgrounder on the Sept. 26 event
notes.
In
addition to the nearly 14,000 nuclear weapons in the world, countries possessing
such weapons "have well-funded, long-term plans to modernize their nuclear
arsenals. More than half of the world's population still lives in countries
that either have such weapons or are members of nuclear alliances."
There
are no nuclear disarmament negotiations underway, and the "international
arms-control framework that contributed to international security since the
Cold War [and] acted as a brake on the use of nuclear weapons and advanced
nuclear disarmament has come under increasing strain."
Though
122 countries at the U.N. in 2017 voted [11] to outlaw nuclear weapons,
the nations that have nuclear weapons and their allies did not. And last
month, the withdrawal of the United States [12] from
the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty "spelled its end," the
U.N. said. That treaty was the vehicle through which "the United States
and the Russian Federation had previously committed to eliminating an entire
class of nuclear missiles."
Hanrahan
acknowledges that with those kinds of setbacks, it is easy to grow frustrated.
"There
aren't a lot of encouraging signs," she said. "The times are
unsteady."
A
recent Princeton University study confirmed these worries, concluding that more
than 90 million people would perish in a nuclear exchange between the United
States and Russia. The project by Princeton's Program on Science and Global
Security, which includes a video simulation [13], was "motivated
by the need to highlight the potentially catastrophic consequences of current
U.S. and Russian nuclear war plans," the program said. The study comes as
a U.S. intelligence report concluded [14] that
an explosion last month in northern Russian coastal waters stemmed from an
attempt to recover a nuclear-powered missile.
However,
Hanrahan said, there is still an overall feeling that nuclear deterrence will
work, that the fear of "mutual assured destruction" will prevent
humans from using the weapons and nations can control the systems designed to
keep a nuclear war or exchange at bay.
"Will
the weapons protect us? I don't think so. It won't protect us from climate
change," she said.
And
efforts to modernize nuclear weapons — to make them faster, smaller — may
ultimately make it easier to use them.
"Those
aren't encouraging signs," Hanrahan said, adding that the use of even one
weapon would lead to famine, death and severe environmental changes.
The
current era of nationalism and turning away from multilateral solutions is also
troubling, she said.
"Is
there any good faith here?" she said. "Nationalism denies the fact
that many of our challenges are international."
Hanrahan
said she believes the problem will not be solved at the policy tables
"unless those tables open up and those at the table changes" — for
example, the participation of more women.
"We
need to talk about peace and how to move it. It's a strong spiritual problem,
and I think we're at a point where we can converse about the need to change the
[governing] ideology — that our protection, our security, does not involve
nuclear weapons."
Echoing
U.N. Secretary-General Guterres, Hanrahan said the only way to prevent a
nuclear war, even a "limited one," is ultimately to rid the world of
nuclear weapons.
"If
the desire were there, we could. But the 'denial thing' is so important,"
she said of the inability of humanity to deal squarely with the nuclear threat.
Christory
of the International Committee of the Red Cross acknowledged the dynamic of
denial remains difficult to overcome, saying, "The message often doesn't
get through."
The U.N, General Assembly meets at the world body's headquarters in
New York in 2017. The U.N.'s annual International Day for the Total Elimination
of Nuclear Weapons falls on Sept. 26 and comes as world leaders and members of
the world body convene for the annual September meeting of the General
Assembly. (U.N. photo)
In the
end, she said in an interview the week before the Sept. 26 commemoration, the
best argument against the use of nuclear weapons is still the humanitarian
impact they would have if used — what she called "the unspeakable
suffering" they would cause. That is at the core of the ICRC's campaign [23] against nuclear weapons.*
Hanrahan
said she hopes the 75th anniversary in 2020 of the use of atomic bombs by the
United States against Japan in 1945 will prompt sober reflection and renewed
action.*
"It's
time [for disarmament]. We have to. I believe there are people who don't want
to go this way, who want to be sane," she said. Maybe, just maybe,
"we'll evolve. But if we don't, we won't be here to talk about it."
*These
paragraphs were updated to correct an attribution.
Chris
Herlinger is GSR international correspondent. His email address is cherlinger@ncronline.org.
Links
[1] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/b2-spirit-cjpg
[2] https://www.un.org/en/events/nuclearweaponelimination/
[3] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/stacy-hanaran-ccjpg
[4] http://www.nuclearweaponsmoney.org/
[5] https://www.ploughshares.org/world-nuclear-stockpile-report
[6] http://sspsworld.globat.com/
[7] https://vivatinternational.org/
[8] https://nonviolencejustpeace.net/
[9] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/peace-event-un-cjpg
[10] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/un-secretary-general-ccjpg
[11] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/node/47926
[12] https://www.defense.gov/explore/story/Article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/
[13] https://sgs.princeton.edu/the-lab/plan-a
[14] https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/29/intel-says-russian-explosion-was-not-from-nuclear-powered-missile-test.html
[15] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/helen-saldanha-ccjpg
[16] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/un-general-assembly-c-2017jpg
[17] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/srbm-compare-cjpg
[18] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/mace-cjpg
[19] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/nuclear-photo-cjpg
[20] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/little-boy-cjpg
[21] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/hiroshima-after-cjpg
[22] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/hiroshima-after-2-cjpg
[23] https://www.icrc.org/en/nuclear-ban-treaty-no-to-nukes
[24] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/news/environment/federal-workers-struggle-years-prove-they-got-sick-job
[1] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/b2-spirit-cjpg
[2] https://www.un.org/en/events/nuclearweaponelimination/
[3] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/stacy-hanaran-ccjpg
[4] http://www.nuclearweaponsmoney.org/
[5] https://www.ploughshares.org/world-nuclear-stockpile-report
[6] http://sspsworld.globat.com/
[7] https://vivatinternational.org/
[8] https://nonviolencejustpeace.net/
[9] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/peace-event-un-cjpg
[10] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/un-secretary-general-ccjpg
[11] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/node/47926
[12] https://www.defense.gov/explore/story/Article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/
[13] https://sgs.princeton.edu/the-lab/plan-a
[14] https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/29/intel-says-russian-explosion-was-not-from-nuclear-powered-missile-test.html
[15] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/helen-saldanha-ccjpg
[16] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/un-general-assembly-c-2017jpg
[17] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/srbm-compare-cjpg
[18] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/mace-cjpg
[19] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/nuclear-photo-cjpg
[20] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/little-boy-cjpg
[21] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/hiroshima-after-cjpg
[22] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/file/hiroshima-after-2-cjpg
[23] https://www.icrc.org/en/nuclear-ban-treaty-no-to-nukes
[24] https://www.globalsistersreport.org/news/environment/federal-workers-struggle-years-prove-they-got-sick-job