We got the debate we deserve.

We got the debate we deserve. 

The Democratic party has lost touch with reality.  Trump only knows reality TV, while the GOP swears loyalty to a delusional narcissist.  Thus, "We the People'" are getting what we deserve.  H. L. Mencken said, “Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance" and "the theory that the common people know what they want and deserve to get it good and hard."   If we fail to elect a leader in touch with reality, very hard times are coming. 

Standing under our Flag we have all pledged loyalty to "liberty and Justice for all".  Collectively however, we have all put our political partisanship ahead of our children's future.  As it is now our Constitution is incapable of achieving any one of the seven intentions in its preamble.  Consider the wisdom of Abraham Lincoln who wrote that our "Declaration of Independence is our Apple of Gold" and our "Constitution it's Silver Frame."  Yet our democratically elected officials have never even considered codifying "the Laws of Nature and Nature's God". 

It should be a self-evident truth that failing to protect nature and meeting the most basic needs for all people- will never end well for any of us.   Because “Everything is connected, everything is interdependent, so everything is vulnerable.... And that’s why this has to be a more than whole of government, a more than whole of nation [effort]. It really has to be a global effort....” Jen Easterly. CISA director.  Oct. 29, 2021. [the Cyber and Infrastructure Security Agency is our nation’s newest federal agency established by the Trump Administration in 2018].  Ms. Easterly is still Director, and our environment is humanities most fundamental and essential infrastructure! 

Degrowth, abortion, and environmental sustainability.

 

Dear Editor,

Sunday’s Washington Post editorial “Degrowth” [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/21/degrowth-climate/] and Kate Cohen’s opinion on Dobbs v Jackson [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/21/roe-dobbs-abortion-rights-two-year-anniversary/] are profoundly connected and relevant to the 4^th of July.   Degrowth is dedicated to protecting the environment.  And a women’s birthing rights are vital to protecting nature.  But protecting both will never be sustainable given the seemingly irreversible dysfunctions of our government, the UN, and our mind’s cognitive dissonance.   Environmental harm is not a function of economic growth or birth rates.   It’s a function of harmful consumer habits.   We only protect what we love.  But loving degrowth won’t serve the environment or our posterity by loving our wasteful ways and flawed concepts more.

Our reactionary policies to population and fetus growth are the problem.  For the last five years many smart minds feared ‘Overpopulation’ with a logical but flawed assumption that hunger is a result of too many people and not enough food.  I once believed that, taught it to my students, and argued it with anyone prioritizing profit over nature.  In 1978 I learned the truth.   Humanity had (and still has) the financial and natural resources to end hunger but our governing systems only lack the “political will”.   This was the conclusion of three reports.  The Brandt Commission, the National Academy of Sciences report, and last in a 1980 Presidential Commission on World Hunger.  This bi-partisan Commission warned, “The most potentially explosive force in the world today is the frustrated desire of poor people to attain a decent standard of living. The anger, despair, and often hatred that result represent real and persistent threats to international order… Neither the cost to national security of allowing malnutrition to spread nor the gain to be derived by a genuine effort to resolve the problem can be predicted or measured in any precise, mathematical way. Nor can monetary value be placed on avoiding the chaos that will ensue unless the United States and the rest of the world begin to develop a common institutional framework for meeting such other critical global threats… Calculable or not, however, this combination of problems now threatens the national security of all countries just as surely as advancing armies or nuclear arsenals.”  And then it stated, “that promoting economic development in general, and overcoming hunger in particular, are tasks far more critical to the U.S. national security than most policymakers acknowledge or even believe. Since the advent of nuclear weapons, most Americans have been conditioned to equate national security with the strength of strategic military forces. The Commission considers this prevailing belief to be a simplistic illusion. Armed might represents merely the physical aspect of national security. Military force is ultimately useless in the absence of the global security that only coordinated international progress toward social justice can bring.”   They went on to specifically warn of increases in “diseases”, “international terrorism”, “war”, “environmental problems” and “other human rights problems”.  

Back then the primary driver of excessive births was high infant mortality rates (IMR). Since 1980 objective science has proven that the economic wealth and health of poor parents and their children will reduce the need for their parents’ ‘insurance’ births to ensure one male child to aid them in their elder years.   And motivated healthy and sufficiently wealthy people have the motivation to protect their children’s future.  If we with money have the wisdom to invest our limited individual financial resources into existing green technologies and fuel growth in research and development creating more that mimic the genius of nature’s evolution, humanity could yield sufficient healthy food, clean power, and unprecedented comforts to all humanity sustainably for more than 10 billion people without a decline of populations by war, genocide, pandemics, or extreme weather events.  Unfortunately, these are now causing hunger to grow.

Unfortunately, some of the smartest people continue to argue that population reduction is the key to a sustainable future.  But it’s not the number of people that is destroying our species vital natural infrastructure.  It’s the wasteful consumption patterns of us in the wealthiest nations.  We must value the lives of others and all children’s future more than protecting our wasteful habits.

Degrowthers are right only if current wasteful consumption methods are sustained.  But if humanities unprecedented wealth is devoted to achieving the UN 17 Sustainable Development Goals our economy would grow.  That won’t happen with reactionary thinking.  A global Garden of Eden (and healthy eating) on earth is possible, along with liberty and justice for all if we have the political will.

The greatest barrier to this remains our delusional beliefs that our current national and global governance systems.  Both prioritize protecting national sovereignty and corporations over human rights and the environment.  These systems founded on the illusion of independence cannot protect both our freedoms and security.  This delusional mental construct exists nowhere in the known universe because “Everything is connected, everything is interdependent, so everything is vulnerable.... And that’s why this has to be a more than whole of government, a more than whole of nation [effort]. It really has to be a global effort....”.  Jen Easterly, the Director of our nation’s newest Federal Agency CISA (the Cyber and Infrastructure Security Agency) said this in a speech Oct. 29, 2021.  Trying to enforce independence these systems cannot protect our freedoms, security, and environmental sustainably.  And all we will get is accelerating chaos, violence, and other harmful unsustainable trends.

This 4^th of July Americans will be celebrating the anniversary of the most profound document in human history, the Declaration of Independence.  Its wisdom still offers humanity what is essential to achieving all seven of the aspirations in our U.S. Constitution’s preamble.   The Declaration’s first sentence states “When in the Course of Human events” we can “assume among the Powers of the Earth”...‘”the Laws of Nature and Nature’s God” to empower us and achieve greatness.   Yet we persist in refusing to take care of nature and each other while with every religion in the world is founded on the “Golden Rule”.

The Declaration’s second paragraph starts “WE hold these Truths to be Self-evident”.  Yet US policy makers swear an oath to protect the Constitution - falsely believing it can achieve the universal aspirations in its preamble.  The Declaration’s signers stressed that virtue is needed to sustain our freedoms.  Yet those same signers engineered slavery (a profound lack of virtue) into the Constitution putting states' rights above human rights.  Now our Supreme Court championed states' rights again with their Dobbs v. Jackson ruling allowing states to removing a Women’s inalienable right to control their own body in some ‘independent’ states thus limiting their access to safe abortions or family planning.  This is a life sentence five times more lethal than an abortion.  

Meanwhile wars, genocides, infectious diseases, natural disasters, and the lack of clean water/safe sanitation cause more aborted fetuses, dead children, environmental destruction, and loss of basic human rights that our governing systems allow.   If we are truly committed to a free, secure, prosperous, and sustainable future for ourselves and our posterity we should insist every day that ‘everything is connected, interdependent, and vulnerable....and a global effort is needed.  And persist in insisting that businesses prioritize funding the 17 SDGs - because governments are too indebted, and charities can’t afford it.   If businesses step up and consumers prioritize purchases that grow heathy people and communities, then capitalism, profit making, and personal comforts will become sustainable for all.    

Humanity is far behind on meeting most of the 168 specific and measurable goals within the 17 SDGs.   Few Americans have even heard of them.  Given the global evolution of weaponry, war, and political polarization the SDGs need to be our highest priority.   With the growth of wise and sufficient investments ahead of our cognitive dissonance and depression about the future.

Abraham Lincoln wrote that the Declaration is our “Apple of Gold”.  And our Constitution its “Silver Frame”.   It is up to “we the people” this November to champion the Apple of Gold and fix the flaws in its silver frame.   The apple led to the foundation of our nation. The frame does no justice domestically or globally.

New CNAS Report: Is prevention unthinkable?

 

The Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a prominent Washington DC. 'think tank' report below lists most obvious serious and accelerating military threats but ignores threat prevention. 

In its latest report Catalyzing Crisis:  A Primer on Artificial Intelligence, Catastrophes, and National Security  (June 11, 2024) its two authors wrote;   “Given the wide range of potential applications for AI, including in biosecurity, military systems, and other high-risk domains, prudence demands proactive efforts to distinguish, prioritize, and mitigate risks. Indeed, past incidents related to finance, biological and chemical weapons, cybersecurity, and nuclear command and control all hint at possible AI-related catastrophes in the future, including AI-accelerated biological weapons of mass destruction (WMD) production, financial meltdowns from AI trading, or even accidental weapons exchanges from AI-enabled command and control systems. In addition to helping initiate crises, AI tools can also erode states’ abilities to cope with them by degrading their public information ecosystems, potentially making catastrophes more likely and their effects more severe.”  Bill Drexel and Caleb Withers.  

Note there was no mention of ‘prevention’ in this assessment regarding the most current US national security policy.  This NGO has issued over 648 reports regarding U.S. security since its creation in 2007.  https://www.cnas.org/reports   And only three reports used the word ‘prevention’, with only in its 2010 report using "prevention' in the context of investing in preventing conflicts.   In both the 2009 and 2013 reports the context of "prevention" was in keeping other nations from acquiring nuclear WMD.  And one of those was in the context of ‘even if the use of force was needed.’

APRIL 25, 2009 report U.S.-DPRK Nuclear Negotiations: A Survey of the Policy Literature three authors, Lindsey Ford, Michael J Zubrow and Zachary Hosford wrote, "North Korea’s nuclear program is one of the longest-standing and most difficult proliferation challenges the United States faces today. In many ways, the regime and its nuclear program stand as relics of the Cold War, seemingly at odds with the rapid development of the rest of the Asia-Pacific.

Yet as negotiations have dragged on through the post-Cold War and post-9/11 eras, the nature of the North Korean threat has evolved and become interwoven with the new challenges of the 21st century. Like Presidents Bush and Clinton before him, President Obama will likely discover that the issues he faces in North Korea are both frustratingly static and ever-evolving. 

Over the past three administrations opinions about the most effective means to handle North Korea have been sharply divided between hawks and doves, often (but overly simplistically) represented by the partisan divide between the Republican and Democratic Parties. The main points of contention between hawks and doves have remained relatively constant over time, leading to an ongoing cycle of repetitious policy debates. Three primary issues stand out in these debates:

1) containment and/or regime change vs. engagement,

2) verification of previous activities vs. prevention of future capabilities, and

3) sequencing – “nukes first” or an “all in” agreement. In addition to these debates, hawks and doves have often been divided amongst themselves over additional issues such as when and how to incorporate multilateral partners, whether to use a regional or global approach to nonproliferation policies, and how to balance an appropriate mix of “carrots” and “sticks”.

December 15, 2010 report Beyond Borders: Developing Comprehensive National Security Policies to Address Complex Regional Challenges

Brian Burton and Patrick M. Cronin wrote "To confront many of the national security challenges facing the United States and its allies today, the U.S. government must adopt new comprehensive approaches that transcend borders and government agencies. 

This report, Beyond Borders: Developing Comprehensive National Security Policies to Address Complex Regional Challenges authored by Patrick Cronin and Brian Burton, offers recommendations for how the United States can further sharpen its understanding of emerging hybrid regional challenges; improve governmental capacity for regional decision-making and strategy-making by building on a regional COCOM platform; and enhance its ability to build partners’ capacity, especially in the areas of security sector assistance and crisis prevention."

 

In a May 13, 2013 report If All Else Fails: The Challenges of Containing a Nuclear-Armed Iran three authors wrote "that the Obama administration is rightly committed to preventing – not containing – a nuclear-armed Iran, but add that prevention efforts, up to and including the use of force, could fail."

 https://www.cnas.org/mission  

CNAS Mission statement:  The Center for a New American Security (CNAS) is an independent, bipartisan, nonprofit organization that develops strong, pragmatic, and principled national security and defense policies. CNAS engages policymakers, experts, and the public with innovative, fact-based research, ideas, and analysis to shape and elevate the national security debate. A key part of our mission is to inform and prepare the national security leaders of today and tomorrow.

Does their financing depend on others who don’t believe in addressing root causes, or do they believe it’s too late for such wisdom? 

**********

Background:  CNAS performs groundbreaking research and analysis to shape and elevate the national security and foreign policy debate in Washington and beyond. Our dynamic research agenda is designed to shape the choices of leaders in the U.S. government, the private sector, and society to advance U.S. interests and strategy.

We have a track record of attracting the best and brightest scholars and practitioners to lead our research programs, and our board members, founders, leaders, scholars, and interns have held or gone on to prominent positions in the U.S. government, at the departments of Defense and State, the White House, and the Central Intelligence Agency as well as in Congress and the private sector. As a result, we benefit from a strong network of supporters in all corners of the policymaking community.

We are committed to creating a diverse and inclusive environment, without discrimination based on race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status. CNAS is proud to be an equal opportunity employer.

CNAS is located in Washington and was established in 2007 by co-founders Dr. Kurt M. Campbell and Michèle A. Flournoy. Since the Center’s founding, our work has informed key U.S. strategic choices and has been acted on by Republican and Democratic leaders in the executive branch and on Capitol Hill.

CNAS is a 501(c)3 tax-exempt nonprofit organization. As a research and policy institution committed to the highest standards of organizational, intellectual, and personal integrity, CNAS maintains strict intellectual independence and sole editorial direction and control over its ideas, projects, publications, events, and other research activities. CNAS does not take institutional positions on ​policy issues and the content of CNAS publications reflects the views of their authors alone. In keeping with its mission and values, CNAS does not engage in lobbying activity and complies fully with all applicable federal, state, and local laws. CNAS will not engage in any representational activities or advocacy on behalf of any entities or interests and, to the extent that the Center accepts funding from non-U.S. sources, its activities will be limited to bona fide scholastic, academic, and research-related activities, consistent with applicable federal law. The Center publicly acknowledges on its website annually all donors who contribute. 

Analysis of CNAS:  How can the best and brightest in our nation fail miserably in considering prevention of war given the evolution of weaponry? The evolution of technology and fear will likely end the 'civilized' freedom and security of about 20% of the world’s population, while knowing most of the rest of the world lacks one or both?